#CSP #NHL #LEAFSNATION
The Maple Leafs welcome the league’s best road team by points percentage (.714) to the Scotiabank Arena for the first game of a home-and-home against the Winnipeg Jets
The 30-11-4 Jets are currently first in the NHL in fewest goals allowed with 104 (2.29 per game) — far and away the best in the league — and it comes despite a bottom-10 penalty kill.
Such has been their excellence in even-strength defense and goaltending that they’re currently allowing 1.66 goals per 60 at five-on-five, with no other NHL team currently below 2.2 per 60. It’s hard to believe they could sustain it at the same level over 82 games — their ridiculous .941 save percentage at five-on-five, in particular — but they’ve been putting their elite number-one goaltender Connor Hellebuyck (not starting tonight) and capable backup Laurent Broissoit in positions to succeed consistently. Per Justin Bourne, SportLogIQ ranks Winnipeg:
First in the league at limiting rush chances against
Third-best at denying slot shots
Fifth-best at limiting cycle chances
Fifth-best at limiting inner slot shots
Fifth-best at limiting high-danger chances
The Jets are without Mark Scheifele and Gabe Vilardi tonight due to day-to-day injuries, taking some of the edge off a more middle-of-the-pack offense (which struggles on the power play at 16.3%). But this is a great test for the Leafs‘ ability to create offensively against a high-end, playoff-calibre defensive structure.
With Tyler Bertuzzi’s wife expecting, the Leafs will slot Pontus Holmberg — who has become a bit of a Swiss Army knife for Sheldon Keefe of late — into Bertuzzi’s usual spot with William Nylander and John Tavares while reinserting Bobby McMann into the fourth-line LW. The first and third forward lines, plus the defense pairs, will remain the same from the team’s 3-1 win over Seattle on Sunday. Ilya Samsonov starts in goal looking for consecutive wins for the first time since November 17.
Toronto Maple Leafs Projected Lines
Forwards
#23 Matthew Knies – #34 Auston Matthews – #16 Mitch Marner
#29 Pontus Holmberg – #91 John Tavares – #88 William Nylander
#89 Nick Robertson – #11 Max Domi – #19 Calle Jarnkrok
#74 Bobby McMann – #64 David Kampf – #18 Noah Gregor
Defensemen
#44 Morgan Rielly – #78 TJ Brodie
#22 Jake McCabe – #37 Timothy Liljegren
#2 Simon Benoit – #25 Conor Timmins
Goaltenders
Starter: #35 Ilya Samsonov
#31 Martin Jones
Scratched: Mark Giordano, William Lagesson, Ryan Reaves
Injured: John Klingberg, Joseph Woll
Unavailable: Tyler Bertuzzi
Winnipeg Jets Projected Lines
Forwards
#81 Kyle Connor – #7 Vladislav Namestnikov – #27 Nikolaj Ehlers
#91 Cole Perfetti – #21 Dominic Toninato – #9 Alex Iafallo
#62 Nino Nederreiter – #17 Adam Lowry – #22 Mason Appleton
#36 Morgan Barron – #15 Rasmus Kupari – #71 Axel Jonsson-Fjallby
Defensemen
#44 Josh Morrissey – #2 Dylan DeMelo
#5 Brendan Dillon – #4 Neal Pionk
#54 Dylan Samberg – #88 Nate Schmidt
Goaltenders
Starter: #39 Laurent Brossoit
#37 Connor Hellebuyck
Injured/Out: Mark Scheifele, Gabriel Vilardi, Ville Heinola, David Gusafsson
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