TLDR; It’s gonna take another run like they had in December-January. They simply can’t drop games against the bottom third and they must win against Wild Card bubble teams (Calgary, Minnesota, St Louis, Nashville, Los Angeles). Not to mention they’ll still need to pick up at least 5 points from top tier teams left on the schedule. Unfortunately, it’s a long shot, statistically speaking. They’ll need to do better than 14-4-5 in the remaining 23 games to hit 96 point target for playoff contention.
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I’ve learned over the last couple years that 96 is the magic number of points through 80 games with the last two games aimed at making up points or resting players or whatever. The Kraken are currently at 63 points with 23 games left, which means they are looking to collect 33 points in 80-82 games. Of those remaining games, 9 of those games are against bottom tier teams, 7 games against top tier teams, and 6 against teams competing for WC (I included Washington here). There are 12 home games and 11 road games left; they’re 12-12-6 on the road this year and they still have games left at Winnipeg (x2), Vegas, LA, and Dallas.
[https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/\_/name/sea/seattle-kraken](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/_/name/sea/seattle-kraken)
Buckle up, Kraken fans. It’s gonna be a wild, bumpy ride.
by IncompltlyHuman
9 Comments
I had to look at the Kraken record for something I was writing today and I was shocked. Since Dec 12th were 18-8-4 with a .666 pts percentage. Projected to end of season that gives you 30 pts and, as you pointed out above, our competition gets weaker through the rest of the season that what we faced in Feb.
I also don’t think it’s useful to look at home/road record globally. A lot of our away games were early in the season when the team was VERY injured.
we’re 3-0 in games I attend. I think you can see where this is going . . .
We need LA and Nashville to start shitting the bed. Like right now.
Not gonna lie, it’s not looking good to me. It just seems like our division is just too tough. But then again, still plenty of time for anything to happen, and the Kraken are looking 🔥 again.
I am also still new to this sport, so take my opinion with a grain of salt.
Most of the pundits seem to think the line is at 90 points. I’m not sure I agree, but they point to the fact that the top three in the Pacific and Central are more or less running away with it and as such the bar for wildcard slots gets subsequently lowered. Dunno that I buy it considering there are two teams in the wildcard group on 70 points right now and the rest of the pack is a minimum of seven points back; that feels like the wildcard is starting to pull away as well.
If we lose before the 8th, I bet we trade for some futures. I assume we need less than 7 losses to finish the year to be in the hunt. Seems like a tall ask, but the team has the ability to pull it off. We will be hard-pressed to out score any team that has a great night.
As people in this sub were saying back in October/November, those were the points we’d be missing come March/April.
Something else to note is that in a tie we lose to every other team around us, because the first tiebreaker is regulation wins. Our RW are currently 20, Calgary 24, Minnesota 22, St Louis 23, Nashville 27, Los Angeles 26. My guess is because of that we’ll need more like 98 points or so to make the playoffs.
Realistically, it’s not happening.