[Bader] Average draft success is about 22% to 25%. If a team, for a period of 5+ years straight, could even hit on 30% to 40% of their picks (depending on the picks they have and where they’re picking), they would be the best drafting team in the league
by SiccSemperTyrannis
2 Comments
Not directly related to the Kraken, but I though this was useful context for people to have going into the offseason where there is a good chance the Kraken trade draft picks and/or current prospects in order to improve their NHL roster for next season.
We all have our favorite prospects and Seattle’s done a good job drafting well, but even drafting well means that more than half of the guys we’ve picked will not end up being NHL caliber players, including guys in the 1st and 2nd rounds.
Just something to keep in mind if/when a trade occurs.
What does “success” mean?
>>”Roughly 2 out of every 7 picks you get.”
It sounds like he is saying you are really only likely to get a NHL Caliber Player in the first 2 rounds of the playoffs. Which is pretty much true for most of the major sports. [Dobber](https://dobberprospects.com/2020/05/16/nhl-draft-pick-probabilities/) has a better breakdown