From Dom at the Athletic:
"The Ducks have a whole lot of cap space, no dead money and a quintet of exciting players on ELCs. That’s the good, along with Troy Terry coming in at a slight discount.
The bad is almost everything else … for now. There’s a light at the end of the tunnel for Anaheim and that’s most of the team’s losses coming off the books soon. Alex Killorn, Ryan Strome, Cam Fowler and John Gibson are the team’s biggest financial headaches and they all have only three years or less left. That likely lines up perfectly with Anaheim’s ascent back up the standings with its promising young core.
The Ducks don’t have a lot of contract wins on the books but their patience should be rewarded."
by Luscious_Luke
9 Comments
Something inherently wrong with these rankings is that Ross Johnston caps out at -0.3M value because there is a minimum salary, when he shouldn’t be on the roster haha.
Zegras is also perpetually underrated by Dom’s model, hopefully we get the comeback/breakout season this year.
Also we have a ton of guys on ELC’s that dont factor into this. Future looks bright
I can’t stand anything Dom writes. His whole model is such nonsense
This looks right for the most part, but it’s not really something the ducks need to worry about with so much cap space and everyone on 3 or fewer years except Terry.
I would like to see past years Cup winners’ report cards. Getting C+s isn’t actually that bad, it means you’re paying them about what they deserve. The C, C- and Ds are the problem
What the hell is with all the Cam Fowler hate? He always goes up against the best team’s lines and plays tons of minutes.
How does this convert to wins? Great work 👍
Gudas has been worth every single dollar and more!
Two things that Dom’s model screws up.
First, it only measures certain things that it assigns value to, so it is far from infallible – see, e.g., his poor valuation on Zegras.
Second, different teams have different needs. Anaheim and, let’s say, Toronto, are in very different positions, so a bad contract on Toronto is gonna be a lot worse than a bad contract on Anaheim.
To add to that, because we’re not in contender mode, we can afford bad contracts because they provide value in other ways – account for. Gibson is not a bad contract for us. Neither is Gudas, or Killorn, or Dumoulin, or even Strome or Fowler, really. Why? Because they provide value as veterans on the team developing the younger players.
Also, aside from Killorn and Strome, none of these genuinely bad contracts will even be on the team after the season following this one (I.e. they end within two years). And Killorn and Strome aren’t a problem either because if we’re contenders – as we should be getting to – in the third year, they can be moved or bought out if their contracts are hamstringing us from making deals we need to make.
This is the problem I have with pseudo-analytical mass-produced fluff that people like Dom post. It presents a veneer of scientific backing, when in reality all it is doing is valuing players by how many points they provide and assigning a set value to that, ignoring everything else. It’s a shitty system because it’s one dimensional, but people who don’t know better read it and assume management sucks. It’s just pisses me off, tbh.
> That likely lines up perfectly with Anaheim’s ascent back up the standings with its promising young core.
4D chess by the verbeek
I’m still not a fan of the killorn/strome AAVs but it is what it is I guess