#**đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€: *12*!**
Welcome! Right before the season started I was full of *BOUDREAU HOPE JUICE* and said “hey, maybe we cool it with the **đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€** and project a year based upon something like “the magic number to make the playoffs” or “to lock up first in the Pacific”. It was a simpler time, before we broke. It happened at a different time for each fan, but all I remember was a quiet November evening, underneath a flickering fluorescent bulb in a forgotten Portuguese town. “I’m not a baby, give it to me!” shouted a sweaty Fin, impatient with the 3 day fast to prepare for the ritual. I put the tea down in front of him. For the next 5.5 hours, we stayed up, whacked out on ayahuasca, delving into the deep pockets of our minds trying to free ourselves from the burden of this Canucks Timeline That Never Ends, Never Changes. I still hear his whimpers, a broken orca, a mascot without anything to cheer for. Anyways!
#RECORD AND TRENDS
*Current record:* **18-22-3**
*Current division place (by points %):* **6th Pacific** [↓ last year finished 5th]
*Current league place (by points %):* **27th NHL** [↓ last year finished 18th]
*Current end of year pace:* **74.3 Points** [↓ last year finished with 92 points]
*Last 10:* **3-7-0**
What kind of pace do we need to make playoffs?: **We need to play like a 115.6 point team**
Feel free to debate, but right now I’m using a a playoff cutoff number of: **94 points**
To reach that we would need a record of: **27-11-1 in the remaining 39 games**
#PROFESSIONAL PREDICTIONS
[Athletic](https://theathletic.com/) finishing points/playoff chances [PAYWALL]: **3%** (84 pts)
[Moneypuck](http://moneypuck.com/predictions.htm) playoff chances: **0.9%** (76.4 pts)
[HockeyViz](https://hockeyviz.com/) finishing points/playoff chances: **8.1%** (84 pts)
[FiveThirtyEight](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nhl-predictions/) finishing points/playoff chances: **4%** (82 pts)
by elrizzy
11 Comments
For those that are new, the **đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€** is a fun (actually bad) series of posts we do every year looking at our playoff chances. The actual **đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€** is a simplified way to say… *”this is how many games you can lose before being eliminated from the playoffs”.* Losses decrease the **đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€** by 1, OTLs by 0.5.
So a **đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€** of 12 means that once we lose 12 games (or 11 games with 2 OTLs, etc), we’re done for this year.
I run this every week until the end of the season or until were eliminated. I also post peoples pre-season predictions for point totals.
We’re doomed
>To reach that we would need a record of: 27-11-1 in the remaining 39 games
Lmao there is no hopium here and I think you’re being generous with the playoff cutoff points number.
I think you should maybe do a reverse đź’€DOOM NUMBERđź’€ where you give the chances of how close we are to bottom of the league.
It’s not IF the scythe strikes. It’s WHEN.
Now do one for our chances at bedard
Poor Fin. He may never eat a child’s head again. Probably doesn’t even remember the taste.
From this point forward need a 69% win rate while we’ve had a 41% so far.
Canucks front office going for the “they bout to see the biggest comeback ever” vibe after sleeping in for the first midterm.
12 losses? We can do this before the end of February!
đź’€ SKULLS! – Aquabot
Seeking your best guess: how many games played until we hit the doom number? I’m going to say a perfectly balanced 24.
Gonna sesh some doom eternal after the Gino tribute in spirit of this.