[Michael] Over the last five years, an average of roughly 69.4% of the Leafs playoff goals came off the stick of Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and John Tavares. By comparison, the average number of goals from the big four forwards of the past five Cup winners was 48.8%
Over the last five years, an average of roughly 69.4% of the Leafs playoff goals came off the stick of Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and John Tavares.
By comparison, the average number of goals from the big four forwards of the past five Cup winners was 48.8%
— Michael (@mic_mazz) September 4, 2023
by JF_112
17 Comments
Really goes to show how poorly Kyle Dubas did in bringing in enough secondary scoring to compliment the core four. Hopefully Brad Treliving continues to improve that department
Dubas was too concerned with keeping Petan and Malgin type players.
When we say “big four forwards of the past five cup winners”, are we talking about their four highest scoring forwards, or their four highest paid forwards?
I mean elephant in the room with this is how many of those five cup winners had four forwards taking up over half the cap?
Not sure if this a good thing for our core 4 or a bad thing for our depth scoring.
Nice.
This stat is wild. The leafs only made it out of the first round once. The past 5 cup winners played almost 15 more rounds than the leafs. Lots more data to choose from
I would be interested to see the total number of goals scored for the four compared to the total team goals
What percentage of the cap on average did those other teams top 4 forwards take up? There you will find why this discrepancy exists.
Which means we need better secondary scoring spread across more lines.
Lots to be said about how many goals were scored and how those were spread across multiple rounds.
A single Stat doesn’t tell a full story
Just proving what we’ve known for years: you can’t win with this much money tied up in so few players. The core should be changed.
This stat doesn’t say much for our top guys. But it shows that our depth hasn’t been contributing much. Teams that win have good depth contributors. We can’t rely on 4 guys to score every time.
I wish — I WISH — they had gone full-in on the offence-first approach. They never did. For all the talk about the big four/five not doing their part, and the Leafs are soft, and you can’t win on talent and skill alone, and “we need more grinders and sandpaper and glue guys,” our bottom six was ALWAYS full of sandpaper and grinder and glue guys who couldn’t produce anything when it mattered. Even bringing Reilly in, while we loved watching him play with jam, he produced almost nothing in the playoffs.
They should’ve filled the bottom six with high-energy, highly skilled guys, who could skate other teams into oblivion. But they didn’t. Dubas went halfway (and whether it was his choice and Shanahan meddling who knows). I still fully believe that going in on four lines that can skate and possessed skill was the way to go, and they never went more than halfway there.
What’s the percentage in elimination games? Or the last two games of each series? By memory I feel like the first 2-3 games of every series leafs come storming out and score goals much easier than when it comes to games 4-7.
It’s not a matter of percentage. It’s volume.
I love how this stat can be used by both pro and anti analytics people.
They don’t show up in elimination games when it matters most