Let me guess, Florida is the far away favorite because 5-on-5.
JayTee245
I see doms name on this, and I already see him favoring the panthers
NoReplacement9001
LOVE being the underdog
Guyfromnewyork95
Why not us?
8teamparlay
Don’t think this was a bad article minus the fact they didn’t talk enough about the goaltending. They pretty much said “hey this is what our model says, but the Rangers may really have the clutch factor and be a team of destiny that defies the model”
Dont_know_where_i_am
The model is “well the Rangers might actually be scoring at a higher rate than the Panthers so far in the playoffs but the numbers say the Panthers should have scored more than the Rangers even though they haven’t, and that’s why the Panthers get the edge in this series.”
Giants5675
I mean your model is blatantly broken when Tkachuk is a +10 over Trocheck in the playoffs when Troch is more productive on the PP, actually takes face offs, plays the PK, and blocks shots—all criteria for their stupid rating system.
pupposedacat
*Clicks link, sees dom, exits page*
Neans888
Dom’s model is wrong so often that I’d be more concerned if we were favored. Nothing to see here.
jkman61494
Honestly the weirdest thing in their metric is how much higher rated Bob is. I’ll grant you Tampa was a harder test than Washington but on the flip side, we played a full squad Carolina team versus a wounded Bruins squad that wasn’t scoring all playoffs.
defigravity42
We would be underdogs even during a Stanley cup winning parade. It is what it is. Just keep focusing on the next game in front of us. Forget the rest.
Famous-Implement-492
One of my buddies works at a large sports betting company in the AI modeling division. He’s been emphatic in saying all their “models” are closer to being random number generators than models. Don’t put much salt into this, we’ll see what happens on the ice.
12 Comments
Let me guess, Florida is the far away favorite because 5-on-5.
I see doms name on this, and I already see him favoring the panthers
LOVE being the underdog
Why not us?
Don’t think this was a bad article minus the fact they didn’t talk enough about the goaltending. They pretty much said “hey this is what our model says, but the Rangers may really have the clutch factor and be a team of destiny that defies the model”
The model is “well the Rangers might actually be scoring at a higher rate than the Panthers so far in the playoffs but the numbers say the Panthers should have scored more than the Rangers even though they haven’t, and that’s why the Panthers get the edge in this series.”
I mean your model is blatantly broken when Tkachuk is a +10 over Trocheck in the playoffs when Troch is more productive on the PP, actually takes face offs, plays the PK, and blocks shots—all criteria for their stupid rating system.
*Clicks link, sees dom, exits page*
Dom’s model is wrong so often that I’d be more concerned if we were favored. Nothing to see here.
Honestly the weirdest thing in their metric is how much higher rated Bob is. I’ll grant you Tampa was a harder test than Washington but on the flip side, we played a full squad Carolina team versus a wounded Bruins squad that wasn’t scoring all playoffs.
We would be underdogs even during a Stanley cup winning parade. It is what it is. Just keep focusing on the next game in front of us. Forget the rest.
One of my buddies works at a large sports betting company in the AI modeling division. He’s been emphatic in saying all their “models” are closer to being random number generators than models. Don’t put much salt into this, we’ll see what happens on the ice.