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[Chace McCallum] Every year we have a debate about some prospect who barley scored but played their draft year in a pro league like Brad Lambert. I tried to find out if NHLe models are likely to under rate these prospects like many believe



[Chace McCallum] Every year we have a debate about some prospect who barley scored but played their draft year in a pro league like Brad Lambert. I tried to find out if NHLe models are likely to under rate these prospects like many believe

by seeldoger47

3 Comments

  1. seeldoger47

    >[One interesting finding from this piece ended being the relationship between prospect production and NHL production is weakest when evaluating pro league defenders, so the cohort of prospects like Dimitri Simashev are the prospects NHLe models are most likely to miss on](https://twitter.com/CMhockey66/status/1676356028609200129)

  2. edit-the-sad-parts

    Kinda feel like the conclusion here is that taking risks on low NHLe prospects from european pro-leagues late first or 2nd/3rd round is a much better bet than equivalent producing prospects from junior leagues

    The rationale being that once high NHLe prospects are gone, take a bet on the prospect with less data and greater variance in their production if you like the scouting reports you have

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